تبیین الگوی تاب‌آوری شهر در مقابله با بلایای بیولوژیکی و بیماری‌های واگیردار (مورد پژوهی: کووید 19 در شهر زنجان)

شیرمحمدی, مینا; پیری, عیسی; مشکینی, ابوالفضل; کلانتری, محسن

تبیین الگوی تاب‌آوری شهر در مقابله با بلایای بیولوژیکی و بیماری‌های واگیردار (مورد پژوهی: کووید 19 در شهر زنجان)

نویسندگان

مینا شیرمحمدی ¹

عیسی پیری ¹

ابوالفضل مشکینی ²

محسن کلانتری ³

¹ دانشگاه زنجان

² دانشگاه تربیت مدرس

³ دانشگاه شهید بهشتی

چکیده

الگوی تاب‌آوری بر قابلیت‌ها و شیوه‌های برخورد مردم و جوامع با بحران‌ها و بلایا تأکید دارد. این تحقیق با هدف تبیین تاب‌آوری شهر با استفاده از داده‌ها به بررسی الگویی مناسب جهت مقابله با بلایای بیولوژیکی، بیماری‌های واگیردار و کووید 19 پرداخته است. از نظر هدف این تحقیق، کاربردی و از نظر نوع، توصیفی و تحلیلی است. با استفاده از روش پرسشنامه‌ای و مصاحبه، داده‌ها شناسایی و دستهبندی شدند و درنهایت، پس از انجام فرآیند تحلیل تم با روش گرندد تئوری، درنهایت 40 تم اصلی به دست آمد. پژوهشگران تمهای استخراج‌شده را در قالب 12 مفهوم کلی و 40 زیرمجموعه نامگذاری نمودند. شاخص‌های کالبدی-محیطی، زیرساخت بهداشتی، مدیریتی، شرایط فرهنگی و اجتماعی، نهادی، اقتصادی، اطلاعات مردم، ارزش‌آفرینی اجتماعی، عملکرد پیشگیرانه، افزایش سلامت جامعه و تسهیل خدمات‌رسانی بهداشتی شاخص‌های به کار رفته در این تحقیق جهت تحلیل عاملی انتخاب شدند. روابط متغیرهای به کار رفته در این تحقیق، در مدل پارادایمی و مفهومی تحقیق نشان داده شده است و داده‌های گردآوری‌شده با استفاده از نرم‌افزار 22 spss و لیزرل 8.8 مورد تجزیه‌وتحلیل قرار گرفته است. بر اساس نتایج به‌دست‌آمده، رابطهی بین فرهنگی-اجتماعی و تابآوری (88/0) دارای بیش‌ترین تأثیر است و کم‌ترین رابطه مربوط به رابطهی بین مدیریتی و فرهنگی-اجتماعی (41/0) است. با توجه به خروجی لیزرل مقدار X2 محاسبه‌شده برابر با 34/1105 است که نسبت به درجهی آزادی 731 عدد 51/1 به دست می‌آید و کم‌تر از 3 است. پایین بودن این شاخص، نشان‌دهندهی تفاوت اندک میان مدل مفهومی با دادههای مشاهده‌شدهی تحقیق است. مقدار RMSEA، 037/0 و کم‌تر از 08/0 است و نشان می‌دهد میانگین مجذور خطاهای مدل مناسب است. همچنین بر اساس روابط تحقیق، رابطهی مثبت و معنادار بین متغیرهای تحقیق، تاب‌آوری شهر را نشان میدهند و مابین ابعاد الگوی تاب‌آوری برای مقابله با بیماری کووید 19 ارتباط معناداری وجود دارد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

تاب‌آوری شهر

بلایای بیولوژیکی

بیماری‌های واگیردار

شهر زنجان

عنوان مقاله English

Explaining the pattern of resilience of the city in the against of biological disasters and Contagious diseases "Case study: Covid 19 in Zanjan city"

نویسندگان English

mina shirmohamadi ¹

Isa Piri ¹

Abolfazl Meshkini ²

Mohsen kalantari ³

چکیده English

Resiliency models emphasize on the capabilities and methods by which people and societies deal with crises and calamities. With the aim of explaining city resiliency, this study investigates suitable approaches used to combat biological disasters including Covid-19 pandemic. In terms of goal, this study is of applied type and in terms of type of research it is a descriptive- analytical study. By making use of questionnaire and interview, the data were identified and categorized. Finally, upon completion of theme analysis process using ground theory approach, 40 main themes were obtained. The researchers designated the themes with distinguished names in the form of 12 general concepts and 40 sub-sets and these indices were selected for factorial analysis: physical-environmental, health infrastructure, managerial, cultural & social conditions, institutional conditions, economic conditions, public knowledge, social value creation, preventive performance, social health enhancement and facilitation of health services. The relationships among variable used in the paradigm and conceptual model of this study are presented and the data were analyzed using SPSS 22 & LISREL software. Based on our findings, the relationship between cultural-social conditions and resiliency (0.88) imposes the highest impact and the less effective relationship relates to that between managerial index and cultural-social conditions (0.41). Given the output of LISREL, the value of X2 computed as 1105.34 and the low value of this index indicates the small difference between conceptual model and observed data of this study. The value of RMSEA equals 0.037 and it is below 0.08 that indicates the model’s mean squared error is of desired degree. Moreover, based on the study relationships, there is a positive and significant relationship among the variables of city resilience study and there is a significant relationship among the aspects of resilience pattern for combating Covid-19 pandemic.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Urban Resilience

biological disasters

contagious diseases

Zanjan city

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